Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | FIU +400 MRSH -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +13 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -8.6 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.1 (-17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -5.7 (-7.3) | 153.6 (-8.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -5.9 (-7.1) | 154.3 (-9.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -5.9 (-7.1) | 153.2 (-8.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -6.0 (-7.0) | 156.4 (-11.4) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2023 | MRSH 80 – 69 FIU |
| Mar 9, 2022 | MRSH 74 – 62 FIU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | FIU 72 – 71 MRSH |
| Jan 21, 2022 | FIU 70 – 66 MRSH |
| Jan 23, 2021 | MRSH 89 – 72 FIU |
Game Analysis
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