Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | FIU +135 MRSH -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +12 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -1.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -1.5 (-10.5) | 145.9 (-9.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -0.7 (-11.3) | 146.4 (-10.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -0.9 (-11.1) | 147.7 (-11.7) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -0.6 (-11.4) | 148.3 (-12.3) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2023 | MRSH 80 – 69 FIU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | FIU 72 – 71 MRSH |
| Jan 21, 2022 | FIU 70 – 66 MRSH |
| Jan 23, 2021 | MRSH 89 – 72 FIU |
| Jan 23, 2021 | MRSH 79 – 66 FIU |
Game Analysis
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