And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Cam Henderson Center · February 11, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread MRSH -5.5 Away covered
O/U 150.0 Under
Money MRSH -230 / FIU +190
Model Predictions
Spread Total MRSH win
Actual FIU +1 143 Lost
Massey MRSH -3.4 (-4.4) — —
Massey Totals — 151.4 (-8.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 56% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 59% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MRSH -4.3 (-5.3) 151.2 (-8.2) 69% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML MRSH -2.3 (-3.3) 151.8 (-8.8) 60% ✗
Baseline ML MRSH -2.7 (-3.7) 151.9 (-8.9) 57% ✗
Baseline Plus ML MRSH -2.9 (-3.9) 152.4 (-9.4) 57% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 20, 2023 MRSH 80 – 69 FIU
Mar 9, 2022 MRSH 74 – 62 FIU
Jan 21, 2022 FIU 70 – 66 MRSH
Jan 23, 2021 MRSH 89 – 72 FIU
Jan 23, 2021 MRSH 79 – 66 FIU

Game Analysis

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