Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMU +8 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -6.1 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (-20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -5.9 (-13.9) | 149.3 (-17.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -5.1 (-13.1) | 149.7 (-17.7) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -4.9 (-12.9) | 150.4 (-18.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -4.1 (-12.1) | 150.2 (-18.2) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2024 | SMU 106 – 79 MEM |
| Jan 7, 2024 | MEM 62 – 59 SMU |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MEM 81 – 62 SMU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | MEM 99 – 84 SMU |
| Mar 12, 2022 | MEM 70 – 63 SMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-4 |
| Home | 13-2 | 17-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#47) | 7.4 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#101) | 1.45 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.08 (#59) | 1.80 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#89) | 0.565 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 24.2% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 38.4% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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