Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | SMU +210 MEM -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +19 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -7.8 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -7.6 (-11.4) | 153.4 (-10.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -6.4 (-12.6) | 156.5 (-13.5) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -7.5 (-11.5) | 155.9 (-12.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -6.7 (-12.3) | 154.8 (-11.8) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2024 | SMU 106 – 79 MEM |
| Jan 7, 2024 | MEM 62 – 59 SMU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | MEM 99 – 84 SMU |
| Mar 12, 2022 | MEM 70 – 63 SMU |
| Feb 20, 2022 | SMU 73 – 57 MEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMU | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-9 | 13-2 |
| Away | 1-11 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#189) | 10.5 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#226) | 2.07 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#201) | 2.79 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#207) | 0.604 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMU | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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