Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +4 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -5.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -3.3 (-7.3) | 137.6 (+6.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -4.7 (-8.7) | 139.3 (+4.7) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -5.1 (-9.1) | 139.3 (+4.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -5.3 (-9.3) | 138.1 (+5.9) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2021 | NKU 69 – 67 UIC |
| Jan 29, 2021 | NKU 72 – 68 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 9-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 6-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#256) | -7.2 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#248) | -2.01 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#272) | -3.06 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#252) | 0.398 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 13.3% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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