Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | NKU -125 UIC +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +2 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -2.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -3.1 (-1.1) | 137.6 (-1.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -2.0 (+0.0) | 136.7 (-0.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -2.0 (-0.0) | 137.6 (-1.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -3.6 (-1.6) | 138.3 (-2.3) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2022 | NKU 74 – 70 UIC |
| Jan 29, 2021 | NKU 72 – 68 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-10 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#248) | -5.1 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#227) | -0.69 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#239) | -1.19 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#200) | 0.462 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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