Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -150 UIC +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +4 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -2.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -2.3 (+1.7) | 137.9 (+2.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -1.8 (+2.2) | 137.0 (+3.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -2.0 (+2.0) | 138.1 (+1.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -3.2 (+0.8) | 138.6 (+1.4) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2022 | NKU 74 – 70 UIC |
| Jan 30, 2021 | NKU 69 – 67 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-10 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#252) | -5.0 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#238) | -0.48 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#253) | -1.03 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#225) | 0.466 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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