Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +22 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -1.6 (+20.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -1.7 (+20.3) | 152.3 (-4.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -0.6 (+21.4) | 157.4 (-9.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -0.2 (+21.8) | 158.6 (-10.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -0.3 (+21.7) | 155.9 (-7.9) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | TNST 79 – 71 SEMO |
| Dec 20, 2025 | SEMO 91 – 82 TNST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | SEMO 89 – 87 TNST |
| Jan 3, 2025 | SEMO 67 – 65 TNST |
| Feb 10, 2024 | TNST 77 – 74 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -10.1 (#326) | -8.0 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#306) | -1.94 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.39 (#315) | -2.42 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#301) | 0.370 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.8% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.