Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
Sun Belt Conference · Hanner Fieldhouse · January 21, 2022
Betting Lines
O/U 134.0 Over
Money GASO -130 / CCU +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total GASO win
Actual CCU +4 148 Lost
Massey GASO -0.9 (-4.9) — —
Massey Totals — 134.4 (+13.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 65% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 57% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CCU -1.2 (-2.8) 134.9 (+13.1) 46% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GASO -1.1 (-5.1) 138.0 (+10.0) 56% ✗
Baseline ML GASO -0.3 (-4.3) 137.0 (+11.0) 50% ✓
Baseline Plus ML GASO -0.1 (-4.1) 135.0 (+13.0) 52% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 GASO 96 – 72 CCU
Jan 17, 2026 CCU 79 – 75 GASO
Jan 1, 2026 GASO 82 – 81 CCU
Jan 23, 2025 GASO 85 – 58 CCU
Jan 17, 2025 GASO 88 – 87 CCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GASO CCU
Overall 13-16 19-14
Conference 5-11 8-8
Home 7-5 13-7
Away 4-10 5-5
Neutral 2-1 1-2
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 63.6 69.5
Avg Pts Against 67.6 66.4
Massey -2.0 (#216) 0.7 (#151)
Bradley-Terry -0.24 (#192) -0.28 (#196)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.49 (#209) -0.11 (#178)
RPI 0.480 (#199) 0.473 (#209)
Shooting & Four Factors GASO CCU
FG% 44.5% 44.3%
3PT% 29.9% 32.9%
REB / G 34.2 39.2
OREB / G 9.6 11.5
AST / TO 0.80 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.5% 50.1%
TOV% 21.1% 19.6%
ORB% 28.3% 33.3%
FT Rate 19.5% 21.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.9% 45.9%
Opp TOV% 20.3% 15.4%
DRB% 69.7% 69.0%
Opp FT Rate 23.5% 17.4%

Game Analysis

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