Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +18 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -4.5 (-22.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -2.1 (-20.1) | 142.2 (+13.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -2.3 (-20.3) | 143.5 (+12.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -2.4 (-20.4) | 142.8 (+13.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -2.6 (-20.6) | 143.9 (+12.1) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCSD 77 – 74 LBSU |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCSD 80 – 74 LBSU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCSD 70 – 63 LBSU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCSD 80 – 54 LBSU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | LBSU 85 – 76 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 12-3 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#236) | -4.5 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#221) | -0.90 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#208) | -0.76 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#214) | 0.480 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 5.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 17.5% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.