Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -27.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +40 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MUR -33.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.2 (+19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -22.8 (+17.2) | 133.2 (+8.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -22.8 (+17.2) | 134.3 (+7.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -32.8 (+7.2) | 131.9 (+10.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -34.3 (+5.7) | 130.3 (+11.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2022 | MUR 72 – 46 EIU |
| Feb 19, 2021 | EIU 68 – 59 MUR |
| Jan 8, 2021 | EIU 74 – 68 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-3 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 3-15 |
| Home | 15-0 | 4-9 |
| Away | 11-1 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 54.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#25) | -17.8 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#24) | -4.55 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.37 (#26) | -5.79 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#27) | 0.332 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 35.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 41.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 24.9% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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