Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -21.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +26 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | MUR -26.6 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -16.5 (-9.5) | 130.2 (-12.2) | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -15.8 (-10.2) | 130.9 (-12.9) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -19.4 (-6.6) | 129.6 (-11.6) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -19.1 (-6.9) | 131.5 (-13.5) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2022 | MUR 91 – 51 EIU |
| Feb 19, 2021 | EIU 68 – 59 MUR |
| Jan 8, 2021 | EIU 74 – 68 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 31-3 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 18-0 |
| Home | 4-9 | 15-0 |
| Away | 1-16 | 11-1 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 54.3 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 63.4 |
| Massey | -18.0 (#356) | 12.4 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.59 (#358) | 2.76 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.81 (#356) | 3.43 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.313 (#358) | 0.628 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.4% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.1% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 24.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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