Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | EIU +155 MUR -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +6 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -2.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -3.3 (+2.7) | 136.7 (+5.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -2.8 (+3.2) | 140.4 (+1.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -2.3 (+3.7) | 140.7 (+1.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -2.4 (+3.6) | 140.8 (+1.2) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2022 | MUR 91 – 51 EIU |
| Jan 17, 2022 | MUR 72 – 46 EIU |
| Feb 19, 2021 | EIU 68 – 59 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-18 | 13-13 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-10 |
| Home | 5-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#232) | -3.3 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#223) | -1.68 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#218) | -1.89 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#239) | 0.380 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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