Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MUR -1400 EIU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +9 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | MUR -14.7 (-23.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -11.5 (-20.5) | 137.7 (-10.7) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -13.4 (-22.4) | 140.2 (-13.2) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -14.1 (-23.1) | 139.6 (-12.6) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -14.7 (-23.7) | 139.4 (-12.4) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2022 | MUR 91 – 51 EIU |
| Jan 17, 2022 | MUR 72 – 46 EIU |
| Jan 8, 2021 | EIU 74 – 68 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-13 | 9-18 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#133) | -10.1 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#224) | -2.06 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#222) | -2.92 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#217) | 0.412 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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