Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -15.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +10 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -18.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -12.8 (-2.8) | 147.6 (+10.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -13.8 (-3.8) | 149.2 (+8.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -14.4 (-4.4) | 149.4 (+8.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -14.8 (-4.8) | 147.8 (+10.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2025 | DEL 100 – 78 W&M |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DEL 74 – 64 W&M |
| Feb 10, 2024 | DEL 69 – 58 W&M |
| Feb 2, 2024 | DEL 81 – 53 W&M |
| Jan 20, 2023 | DEL 80 – 53 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-5 | 4-10 |
| Away | 8-5 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L10 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#135) | -13.7 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#85) | -2.71 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#92) | -4.23 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#82) | 0.369 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 25.1% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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