Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -125 W&M +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -1.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.9 (-34.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -0.2 (+10.2) | 159.8 (-21.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -0.4 (+10.4) | 159.6 (-21.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -1.1 (+8.9) | 157.9 (-19.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -0.3 (+9.7) | 160.3 (-22.3) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2025 | DEL 100 – 78 W&M |
| Feb 10, 2024 | DEL 69 – 58 W&M |
| Feb 2, 2024 | DEL 81 – 53 W&M |
| Jan 20, 2023 | DEL 80 – 53 W&M |
| Feb 19, 2022 | DEL 73 – 69 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-20 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#248) | -3.3 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#251) | -0.13 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#255) | -0.06 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#248) | 0.509 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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