Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -225 W&M +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +27 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -6.6 (+20.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -5.0 (+22.0) | 136.4 (-3.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -5.6 (+21.4) | 136.2 (-3.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -8.5 (+18.5) | 136.4 (-3.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -4.7 (+22.3) | 136.7 (-3.7) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2025 | DEL 100 – 78 W&M |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DEL 74 – 64 W&M |
| Feb 10, 2024 | DEL 69 – 58 W&M |
| Feb 2, 2024 | DEL 81 – 53 W&M |
| Feb 19, 2022 | DEL 73 – 69 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#234) | -5.9 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#176) | -0.59 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#181) | -1.14 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#180) | 0.487 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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