Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +2 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -7.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -6.1 (-8.1) | 129.0 (-1.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -5.0 (-7.0) | 130.7 (-2.7) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -5.6 (-7.6) | 131.3 (-3.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -4.2 (-6.2) | 130.8 (-2.8) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UCI 86 – 65 CSUF |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UCI 86 – 64 CSUF |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCI 76 – 51 CSUF |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCI 82 – 62 CSUF |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCI 81 – 71 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-10 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 11-4 |
| Home | 9-1 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.4 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#102) | 0.9 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#109) | 0.25 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#114) | 0.34 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#61) | 0.508 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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