That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
Big Sky Conference · Reese Court · January 21, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread EWU -7.0 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total EWU win
Actual EWU +13 137 Won
Massey EWU -8.9 (+4.1) — —
Massey Totals — 143.1 (-6.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 85% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 84% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ EWU -9.3 (+3.7) 144.7 (-7.7) 81% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML EWU -5.7 (+7.3) 143.8 (-6.8) 75% ✓
Baseline ML EWU -5.9 (+7.1) 143.2 (-6.2) 72% ✓
Baseline Plus ML EWU -5.9 (+7.1) 144.4 (-7.4) 72% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 EWU 102 – 94 SAC
Jan 24, 2026 EWU 75 – 67 SAC
Feb 7, 2025 EWU 83 – 80 SAC
Jan 11, 2025 EWU 65 – 54 SAC
Mar 10, 2024 SAC 74 – 69 EWU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EWU SAC
Overall 18-16 11-18
Conference 11-9 6-14
Home 9-3 6-8
Away 8-11 4-9
Neutral 1-2 1-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 75.2 64.5
Avg Pts Against 75.3 71.2
Massey -3.3 (#228) -8.5 (#307)
Bradley-Terry -0.12 (#186) -1.26 (#283)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.38 (#197) -1.35 (#271)
RPI 0.486 (#190) 0.444 (#273)
Shooting & Four Factors EWU SAC
FG% 43.2% 40.1%
3PT% 34.7% 29.8%
REB / G 36.1 32.9
OREB / G 9.1 8.5
AST / TO 1.01 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.0% 45.1%
TOV% 20.2% 18.2%
ORB% 26.3% 22.6%
FT Rate 28.5% 20.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 49.5%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 17.5%
DRB% 72.7% 71.8%
Opp FT Rate 25.2% 29.6%

Game Analysis

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