Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCD +17 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | UCD -3.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (-20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCD -3.4 (-13.6) | 134.2 (-23.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCD -2.0 (-15.0) | 134.7 (-23.7) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCD -2.0 (-15.0) | 135.5 (-24.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCD -2.4 (-14.6) | 135.5 (-24.5) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | CSUN 94 – 78 UCD |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UCD 89 – 80 CSUN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CSUN 65 – 62 UCD |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CSUN 73 – 61 UCD |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UCD 66 – 65 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 13-11 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 5-6 |
| Home | 4-11 | 7-5 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#315) | -2.0 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#261) | -0.40 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#254) | -0.57 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#263) | 0.460 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.0% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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