Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +32 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -18.8 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (+25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -15.8 (+16.2) | 137.6 (+20.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -14.1 (+17.9) | 138.4 (+19.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -14.9 (+17.1) | 137.0 (+21.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -15.1 (+16.9) | 138.1 (+19.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WEB 83 – 73 IDST |
| Jan 31, 2026 | WEB 81 – 79 IDST |
| Feb 9, 2025 | IDST 72 – 67 WEB |
| Jan 12, 2025 | WEB 77 – 69 IDST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | IDST 80 – 62 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 5-15 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-8 |
| Away | 8-5 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#169) | -15.5 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#130) | -3.58 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#118) | -3.99 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#174) | 0.325 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.