Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +28 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -14.4 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -10.5 (-17.5) | 149.1 (-7.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -10.9 (-17.1) | 149.8 (-7.8) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -10.9 (-17.1) | 149.1 (-7.1) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -11.8 (-16.2) | 152.9 (-10.9) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2024 | ARIZ 82 – 71 STAN |
| Dec 31, 2023 | STAN 100 – 82 ARIZ |
| Mar 10, 2023 | ARIZ 95 – 84 STAN |
| Feb 12, 2023 | STAN 88 – 79 ARIZ |
| Mar 10, 2022 | ARIZ 84 – 80 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 33-4 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 18-2 |
| Home | 10-5 | 17-0 |
| Away | 3-9 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 84.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#101) | 23.4 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#52) | 3.55 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#55) | 4.63 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#28) | 0.652 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 49.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 43.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 42.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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