See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–10 on winners spread MAE 8.6 38 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
LSU @ Alabama +0.5 147.1 67% 67–70 ✓
La Salle @ Rhode Island +11.8 139.7 86% 54–56 ✓
George Washington @ Saint Joseph's +9.1 145.4 84% 61–72 ✓
Rider @ Quinnipiac +6.3 144.5 74% 67–73 ✓
Boston University @ Loyola Maryland +0.1 132.4 53% 67–50 ✗
Colgate @ Bucknell -10.7 148.0 17% 75–56 ✓
St. John's @ Creighton +5.0 151.3 73% 64–87 ✓
Lehigh @ Navy +14.2 132.0 85% 69–61 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Gardner-Webb +11.2 142.3 85% 74–61 ✗
High Point @ Charleston Southern -6.3 142.6 26% 66–70 ✗
Campbell @ Longwood +5.9 130.9 72% 64–72 ✓
Virginia Tech @ NC State -3.7 138.0 36% 62–59 ✓
Wake Forest @ Georgia Tech -3.8 144.7 37% 80–64 ✓
Vermont @ NJIT -11.7 136.8 14% 83–57 ✓
Stony Brook @ Binghamton -1.2 140.6 38% 74–71 ✓
New Hampshire @ Hartford -3.3 138.3 42% 57–69 ✗
Maine @ UMass Lowell +12.6 128.5 86% 62–71 ✓
UAlbany @ UMBC +5.4 136.2 68% 66–54 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso -2.7 142.4 39% 80–83 ✗
Western Carolina @ Furman +14.0 153.2 87% 50–88 ✓
Mercer @ East Tennessee State +3.0 143.0 63% 64–72 ✓
The Citadel @ Wofford +13.2 150.0 87% 77–89 ✓
Marquette @ Villanova +12.7 137.1 85% 57–54 ✗
TCU @ Oklahoma State +4.5 129.9 67% 56–57 ✓
Indiana State @ Southern Illinois +2.6 129.2 68% 55–63 ✓
Illinois State @ Missouri State +12.5 155.3 87% 63–88 ✓
Bradley @ Drake +8.3 134.7 80% 83–71 ✗
Boston College @ Louisville +6.7 135.0 76% 54–67 ✓
Kentucky @ Texas A&M -5.8 141.4 33% 64–58 ✓
Iowa @ Rutgers -4.5 143.9 39% 46–48 ✗
Georgia @ Auburn +16.5 152.8 90% 60–83 ✓
Xavier @ DePaul -4.2 150.3 37% 68–67 ✓
Virginia @ Pittsburgh -2.6 126.3 34% 66–61 ✓
San José State @ Wyoming +17.1 141.1 90% 69–84 ✓
New Mexico @ Colorado State +15.6 154.0 89% 74–80 ✓
North Florida @ Florida State +20.2 141.8 90% 73–86 ✓
Georgetown @ Providence +11.5 145.2 85% 75–83 ✓
Winthrop @ Presbyterian -4.9 134.8 32% 60–58 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.