Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +6 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | CSU -15.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -15.6 (-9.6) | 154.0 (+0.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -13.2 (-7.2) | 153.1 (+0.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -14.0 (-8.0) | 153.7 (+0.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -14.8 (-8.8) | 154.9 (-0.9) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | CSU 82 – 74 UNM |
| Jan 7, 2026 | UNM 80 – 70 CSU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UNM 87 – 65 CSU |
| Dec 28, 2024 | UNM 76 – 68 CSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | UNM 74 – 61 CSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-6 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-12 |
| Home | 14-1 | 11-7 |
| Away | 6-3 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#38) | -0.7 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.20 (#11) | -0.16 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.86 (#18) | -0.05 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.638 (#12) | 0.496 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.