Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NJIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +26 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -11.6 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -11.7 (-14.3) | 136.8 (+3.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -11.2 (-14.8) | 137.0 (+3.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -10.4 (-15.6) | 139.6 (+0.4) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -10.6 (-15.4) | 136.9 (+3.1) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | UVM 63 – 54 NJIT |
| Feb 22, 2026 | UVM 70 – 64 NJIT |
| Jan 31, 2026 | NJIT 79 – 77 UVM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UVM 71 – 61 NJIT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UVM 68 – 64 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NJIT | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 28-6 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 17-1 |
| Home | 6-8 | 16-0 |
| Away | 5-10 | 10-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 61.1 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#294) | 7.7 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#274) | 1.27 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#292) | 1.64 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#296) | 0.568 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NJIT | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 5.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 19.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 80.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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