Betting Lines
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
| Money | L-MD -110 BU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +17 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | L-MD -1.6 (-18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | L-MD -0.1 (-17.1) | 132.4 (-15.4) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -1.9 (-18.9) | 135.4 (-18.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -1.5 (-18.5) | 135.5 (-18.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -1.4 (-18.4) | 134.5 (-17.5) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BU 78 – 69 L-MD |
| Jan 17, 2026 | L-MD 74 – 57 BU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | BU 68 – 66 L-MD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | L-MD 69 – 67 BU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BU 82 – 79 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#235) | -1.4 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#199) | -0.44 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#226) | -0.64 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#210) | 0.474 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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