Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | BU -195 L-MD +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +2 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | BU -4.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -3.6 (-1.6) | 132.0 (+2.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -2.6 (-0.6) | 133.5 (+0.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -2.9 (-0.9) | 134.5 (-0.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -3.1 (-1.1) | 134.8 (-0.8) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BU 78 – 69 L-MD |
| Jan 17, 2026 | L-MD 74 – 57 BU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | L-MD 69 – 67 BU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BU 82 – 79 L-MD |
| Jan 13, 2024 | BU 60 – 58 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#298) | -9.6 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#285) | -1.54 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#285) | -1.92 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#268) | 0.427 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.