Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | BU -335 L-MD +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +3 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | BU -8.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.4 (+32.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -5.6 (-2.6) | 131.9 (+29.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -7.1 (-4.1) | 129.6 (+31.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -7.0 (-4.0) | 130.8 (+30.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -7.4 (-4.4) | 131.1 (+29.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BU 78 – 69 L-MD |
| Jan 17, 2026 | L-MD 74 – 57 BU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | BU 68 – 66 L-MD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | L-MD 69 – 67 BU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | BU 60 – 58 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-7 | 2-11 |
| Away | 7-10 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#285) | -12.4 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#309) | -2.87 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#305) | -3.56 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#298) | 0.385 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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