Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | L-MD -102 BU -118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +17 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | BU -3.6 (+20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.5 (-28.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -3.0 (+20.0) | 147.7 (-16.7) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -3.2 (+20.2) | 148.8 (-17.8) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -2.9 (+19.9) | 147.2 (-16.2) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BU -3.0 (+20.0) | 149.4 (-18.4) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BU 78 – 69 L-MD |
| Feb 20, 2025 | BU 68 – 66 L-MD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | L-MD 69 – 67 BU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BU 82 – 79 L-MD |
| Jan 13, 2024 | BU 60 – 58 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -13.1 (#341) | -6.1 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.06 (#353) | -1.78 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.78 (#351) | -2.57 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.355 (#359) | 0.405 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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