Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +23 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -4.5 (+18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -5.0 (+18.0) | 151.3 (-0.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -4.8 (+18.2) | 150.1 (+0.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -4.0 (+19.0) | 151.1 (-0.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -5.0 (+18.0) | 154.3 (-3.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SJU 81 – 52 CREI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SJU 90 – 73 CREI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | SJU 82 – 66 CREI |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SJU 79 – 73 CREI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | CREI 57 – 56 SJU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-7 | 8-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#69) | 6.8 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#44) | 1.17 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.42 (#24) | 1.80 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#58) | 0.540 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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