Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +38 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -15.4 (+22.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -14.0 (+24.0) | 153.2 (-15.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -11.7 (+26.3) | 154.1 (-16.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -12.1 (+25.9) | 155.1 (-17.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -11.9 (+26.1) | 154.3 (-16.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WCU 86 – 67 FUR |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WCU 80 – 77 FUR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FUR 84 – 75 WCU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | FUR 90 – 61 WCU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | FUR 79 – 76 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 78.2 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#104) | -6.9 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#99) | -0.60 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#107) | -0.78 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#73) | 0.462 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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