Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +2 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | URI -16.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (-27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -11.8 (-9.8) | 139.7 (-29.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -13.1 (-11.1) | 142.1 (-32.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -13.8 (-11.8) | 142.5 (-32.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -13.5 (-11.5) | 141.2 (-31.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LAS 59 – 46 URI |
| Jan 8, 2026 | LAS 79 – 72 URI |
| Feb 15, 2025 | URI 86 – 71 LAS |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LAS 70 – 64 URI |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LAS 84 – 61 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 5-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#70) | -4.9 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#106) | -1.07 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#92) | -1.54 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#64) | 0.434 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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