Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +19 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -9.7 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -10.7 (-8.3) | 148.0 (-17.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -9.7 (-9.3) | 149.8 (-18.8) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -9.1 (-9.9) | 149.6 (-18.6) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -10.2 (-8.8) | 149.9 (-18.9) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | COLG 78 – 59 BUCK |
| Jan 17, 2026 | COLG 95 – 76 BUCK |
| Jan 21, 2025 | COLG 87 – 80 BUCK |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BUCK 66 – 60 COLG |
| Mar 10, 2024 | COLG 68 – 65 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 16-2 |
| Home | 7-6 | 15-1 |
| Away | 2-15 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -11.8 (#333) | 1.6 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#336) | -0.82 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.11 (#336) | -0.58 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.377 (#340) | 0.465 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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