Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -22.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +23 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -25.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -16.5 (+6.5) | 152.8 (-9.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -19.7 (+3.3) | 154.7 (-11.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -21.3 (+1.7) | 155.5 (-12.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -20.0 (+3.0) | 153.7 (-10.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | UGA 104 – 100 AUB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | AUB 82 – 70 UGA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AUB 70 – 68 UGA |
| Mar 9, 2024 | AUB 92 – 78 UGA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | AUB 97 – 76 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 1-17 |
| Home | 16-0 | 6-13 |
| Away | 8-3 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 19.0 (#9) | -2.5 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.19 (#1) | -1.02 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.19 (#1) | -1.19 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.691 (#1) | 0.448 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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