Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +6 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | UK -8.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -5.8 (-0.2) | 141.4 (-19.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -4.2 (-1.8) | 147.0 (-25.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -4.0 (-2.0) | 147.2 (-25.2) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -5.3 (-0.7) | 146.5 (-24.5) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | TA&M 96 – 85 UK |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UK 81 – 69 TA&M |
| Mar 15, 2024 | TA&M 97 – 87 UK |
| Jan 13, 2024 | TA&M 97 – 92 UK |
| Jan 21, 2023 | UK 76 – 67 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-13 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 16-4 | 18-0 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 66.6 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#68) | 19.4 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#24) | 2.56 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.17 (#35) | 3.60 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#61) | 0.591 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 50.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 42.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 40.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.3% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 78.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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