Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | TA&M -120 UK +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +11 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -0.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.3 (+17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -1.2 (+9.8) | 159.9 (+21.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -1.7 (+9.3) | 156.4 (+24.6) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -1.5 (+9.5) | 158.4 (+22.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -1.1 (+12.1) | 158.2 (+22.8) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2025 | UK 81 – 69 TA&M |
| Mar 15, 2024 | TA&M 97 – 87 UK |
| Jan 13, 2024 | TA&M 97 – 92 UK |
| Jan 21, 2023 | UK 76 – 67 TA&M |
| Jan 20, 2022 | UK 64 – 58 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.1 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 14.4 (#37) | 17.4 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#43) | 2.64 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.86 (#41) | 3.48 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#69) | 0.588 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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