Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | TA&M -154 UK +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +5 | 189 | Won |
| Massey | UK -0.4 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (+30.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -2.0 (+3.0) | 150.0 (+39.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -1.5 (+3.5) | 151.8 (+37.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -1.7 (+3.3) | 154.0 (+35.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -2.3 (+2.7) | 154.1 (+34.9) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | TA&M 96 – 85 UK |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UK 81 – 69 TA&M |
| Mar 15, 2024 | TA&M 97 – 87 UK |
| Jan 21, 2023 | UK 76 – 67 TA&M |
| Jan 20, 2022 | UK 64 – 58 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 89.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#43) | 15.2 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#66) | 2.62 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#68) | 3.15 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#74) | 0.610 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 49.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.0% | 39.9% |
| REB / G | 42.9 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 18.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 57.4% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 12.8% |
| ORB% | 44.6% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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