Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +4 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -8.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -6.3 (+10.3) | 142.6 (-6.6) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -6.6 (+10.6) | 138.3 (-2.3) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -6.1 (+10.1) | 138.6 (-2.6) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -6.1 (+10.1) | 141.2 (-5.2) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | HPU 80 – 55 CHSO |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HPU 84 – 82 CHSO |
| Feb 20, 2025 | HPU 83 – 60 CHSO |
| Jan 9, 2025 | HPU 93 – 79 CHSO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | HPU 74 – 59 CHSO |
Game Analysis
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