Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +2 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | WIN -1.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (-23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -4.9 (+2.9) | 134.8 (-16.8) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -2.1 (+0.1) | 139.5 (-21.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -1.6 (-0.4) | 141.3 (-23.3) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -1.1 (-0.9) | 139.0 (-21.0) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | WIN 73 – 71 PRES |
| Feb 28, 2026 | WIN 74 – 70 PRES |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WIN 82 – 72 PRES |
| Feb 20, 2025 | WIN 81 – 77 PRES |
| Jan 29, 2025 | WIN 76 – 67 PRES |
Game Analysis
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