Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAVY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +8 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | NAVY -16.7 (-24.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -14.2 (-22.2) | 132.0 (-2.0) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -10.9 (-18.9) | 136.2 (-6.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -13.1 (-21.1) | 136.1 (-6.1) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -12.8 (-20.8) | 133.1 (-3.1) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | NAVY 72 – 49 LEH |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NAVY 82 – 79 LEH |
| Feb 13, 2025 | NAVY 63 – 60 LEH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | NAVY 79 – 54 LEH |
| Feb 1, 2024 | LEH 77 – 65 NAVY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAVY | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 11-5 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.8 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#119) | -9.8 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#121) | -2.18 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#134) | -2.99 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#158) | 0.376 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAVY | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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