Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | DRKE -300 BRAD +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +12 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -6.4 (-18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -8.3 (-20.3) | 134.7 (+19.3) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -6.9 (-18.9) | 137.6 (+16.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -6.7 (-18.7) | 137.8 (+16.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -6.8 (-18.8) | 136.0 (+18.0) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRAD 87 – 73 DRKE |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BRAD 93 – 66 DRKE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 48 BRAD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 59 DRKE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 57 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 8-2 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#89) | 3.7 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#113) | -0.76 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#115) | -0.79 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#119) | 0.456 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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