Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +9 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | UML -17.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -12.6 (-3.6) | 128.5 (+4.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -11.9 (-2.9) | 131.3 (+1.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -12.4 (-3.4) | 131.4 (+1.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -11.6 (-2.6) | 128.9 (+4.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UML 67 – 56 ME |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UML 91 – 77 ME |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ME 72 – 64 UML |
| Mar 4, 2025 | ME 71 – 70 UML |
| Jan 23, 2025 | ME 86 – 85 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 6-9 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 60.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#238) | -17.3 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#246) | -4.67 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#279) | -6.18 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#237) | 0.329 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 24.9% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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