Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +15 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -22.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -17.1 (-2.1) | 141.1 (+11.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -16.6 (-1.6) | 140.0 (+13.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -18.6 (-3.6) | 138.0 (+15.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -17.6 (-2.6) | 138.6 (+14.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | WYO 88 – 78 SJSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WYO 66 – 62 SJSU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | SJSU 66 – 61 WYO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SJSU 82 – 73 WYO |
| Jan 26, 2025 | SJSU 67 – 58 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 1-17 |
| Home | 14-1 | 7-9 |
| Away | 8-5 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#31) | -7.1 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.92 (#19) | -0.26 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.52 (#23) | -0.53 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#22) | 0.489 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 14.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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