I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
Mountain West Conference · Arena-Auditorium · January 24, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread WYO -13.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money WYO -1200 / SJSU +750
Model Predictions
Spread Total WYO win
Actual WYO +4 128 Won
Massey WYO -15.6 (-11.6)
Massey Totals 146.8 (-18.8)
Bradley-Terry 86%
Weighted B-T 91%
Baseline Plus ML WYO -13.1 (-9.1) 138.9 (-10.9) 87%
Model 4 ML WYO -11.1 (-7.1) 135.1 (-7.1) 86%
Model 3 ML WYO -11.8 (-7.8) 139.0 (-11.0) 87%
Baseline ML WYO -12.7 (-8.7) 140.0 (-12.0) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 WYO 8878 SJSU
Mar 12, 2025 SJSU 6661 WYO
Feb 22, 2025 SJSU 8273 WYO
Jan 26, 2025 SJSU 6758 WYO
Feb 18, 2024 WYO 8075 SJSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WYO SJSU
Overall 18-15 9-24
Conference 9-11 3-17
Home 14-4 6-10
Away 3-10 1-12
Neutral 1-1 2-2
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 76.2 70.8
Avg Pts Against 72.9 79.2
Massey 7.3 (#87) -5.0 (#246)
Bradley-Terry 0.39 (#125) -0.89 (#247)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.66 (#120) -1.01 (#238)
RPI 0.517 (#134) 0.466 (#232)
Shooting & Four Factors WYO SJSU
FG% 46.2% 41.8%
3PT% 33.5% 34.1%
REB / G 36.6 29.8
OREB / G 12.1 11.1
AST / TO 1.20 0.81
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.1% 48.0%
TOV% 17.4% 17.9%
ORB% 35.2% 32.6%
FT Rate 28.5% 25.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.5% 57.6%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 19.0%
DRB% 73.4% 63.7%
Opp FT Rate 36.0% 24.2%

Game Analysis

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