Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | WYO -225 SJSU +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJSU +9 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | WYO -3.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -2.5 (-11.5) | 136.5 (+18.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -2.7 (-11.7) | 136.9 (+18.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -2.2 (-11.2) | 137.5 (+17.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -2.5 (-11.5) | 137.2 (+17.8) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | WYO 88 – 78 SJSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WYO 66 – 62 SJSU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | SJSU 66 – 61 WYO |
| Jan 26, 2025 | SJSU 67 – 58 WYO |
| Feb 18, 2024 | WYO 80 – 75 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 7-13 |
| Home | 8-7 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#173) | -1.0 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#165) | -0.18 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#177) | -0.29 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#221) | 0.467 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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