Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -23.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +13 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | FSU -21.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -20.2 (-7.2) | 141.8 (+17.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -16.5 (-3.5) | 138.8 (+20.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -17.6 (-4.6) | 139.3 (+19.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -18.0 (-5.0) | 139.6 (+19.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2023 | FSU 91 – 75 UNF |
| Dec 3, 2020 | FSU 86 – 58 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#59) | -8.9 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#57) | -2.89 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#60) | -3.18 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#38) | 0.409 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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