Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | FSU -2000 UNF +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +16 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | FSU -16.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -11.0 (+5.0) | 149.1 (+16.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -13.4 (+2.6) | 146.5 (+19.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -13.6 (+2.4) | 144.4 (+21.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -13.1 (+2.9) | 148.6 (+17.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2022 | FSU 86 – 73 UNF |
| Dec 3, 2020 | FSU 86 – 58 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-7 |
| Home | 10-7 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#112) | -8.3 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#190) | -1.70 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#175) | -2.47 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#134) | 0.378 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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