Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HART +12 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -4.8 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -3.3 (+15.3) | 138.3 (-12.3) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -4.8 (+16.8) | 140.8 (-14.8) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -5.3 (+17.3) | 141.8 (-15.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -5.0 (+17.0) | 139.5 (-13.5) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2022 | UNH 70 – 64 HART |
| Dec 28, 2020 | UNH 53 – 51 HART |
| Dec 27, 2020 | UNH 77 – 69 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-13 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#312) | -0.2 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#339) | -0.68 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.27 (#340) | -0.84 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.382 (#338) | 0.488 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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