Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -3.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -2.0 (+6.0) | 138.2 (+7.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HART -1.0 (+9.0) | 137.6 (+8.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HART -0.6 (+8.6) | 136.4 (+9.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -0.7 (+7.3) | 138.9 (+7.1) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2022 | UNH 70 – 64 HART |
| Jan 20, 2022 | HART 69 – 57 UNH |
| Dec 28, 2020 | UNH 53 – 51 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-9 | 15-9 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 8-6 |
| Home | 5-6 | 10-1 |
| Away | 5-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 63.9 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#235) | -3.6 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#289) | 0.73 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.16 (#289) | 1.17 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.354 (#310) | 0.508 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.2% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 83.8% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.3% | 13.5% |
Game Analysis
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